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Russia Presses Its Advantage in Ukraine as Front Expands

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Ukrainian soldiers with the 31st Separate Mechanized Brigade fire a 122-millimeter howitzer D-30 at a Russian target in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine, Feb. 20, 2024. Western sanctions haven’t worked and weapons from allies are running low. Pressure may build on Kyiv to seek a settlement, even from a weakened position. (Tyler Hicks/The New York Times)
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Russia has intensified its operations in Ukraine, leveraging its numerical superiority to expand the frontlines and exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses. The Wall Street Journal that Russian forces are “pressing their ” by deploying a larger of , leading to intensified across a broader front in Ukraine.

In the Donetsk region, Russian troops have made advances, capturing settlements such as Avdiivka and Marinka by February 2024. The capture of Avdiivka, a fortified city, particularly , as it served as a gateway to Donetsk city. Following this, Russian forces expanded their control, forming a salient northwest of Avdiivka and capturing settlements like Ocheretyne in April 2024.

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The Novopavlivka offensive, initiated in March 2025, has seen Russian forces advancing towards the Dnipropetrovsk region. By June 2025, Russia claimed to have reached this region for the first time, a significant territorial gain.

In the northeastern Sumy region, Russian forces have been conducting assaults to prevent Ukrainian troops from redeploying experienced units to the eastern front. This to stretch Ukrainian defenses and create vulnerabilities along the frontlines.

The Royal Institute notes that Russia’s of the frontlines has Ukrainian forces to spread their thin, complicating their defensive operations. By stretching Ukrainian forces along a wide front, Russia is overcoming the limitations of its undertrained army.

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As the continues, both sides are preparing for potential negotiations in the fall. However, Russia’s recent tactical gains and increased confidence present significant challenges for Ukraine in stabilizing the frontlines and maintaining territorial integrity.

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