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Russia Presses Its Advantage in Ukraine as Front Expands

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Ukrainian soldiers with the 31st Separate Mechanized Brigade fire a 122-millimeter howitzer D-30 at a Russian target in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine, Feb. 20, 2024. Western sanctions haven’t worked and weapons from allies are running low. Pressure may build on Kyiv to seek a settlement, even from a weakened position. (Tyler Hicks/The New York Times)
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Russia has intensified its military in Ukraine, leveraging its numerical superiority to the frontlines and exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses. The Street Journal reports that Russian are “pressing their advantage” by deploying a larger number of troops, to intensified fighting across a broader in Ukraine.

In the Donetsk region, Russian troops have made significant , capturing key settlements such as Avdiivka and Marinka by February 2024. The of Avdiivka, a fortified , was particularly , as it served as a gateway to Donetsk city. Following this, Russian forces expanded their control, a salient northwest of Avdiivka and capturing settlements like Ocheretyne in April 2024.

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The Novopavlivka offensive, in March 2025, has seen Russian forces advancing towards the Dnipropetrovsk region. By June 2025, claimed to have reached this region for the first time, marking a significant territorial .

In the northeastern Sumy region, Russian forces have been conducting assaults to prevent Ukrainian troops from redeploying experienced units to the eastern front. This strategy aims to stretch Ukrainian defenses and vulnerabilities along the frontlines.

The Royal United Services notes that Russia’s expansion of the frontlines has Ukrainian forces to their resources thin, complicating their defensive operations. By stretching Ukrainian forces along a wide front, Russia is overcoming the limitations of its undertrained army.

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As the conflict continues, both sides are preparing for potential negotiations in the fall. However, Russia’s recent tactical and increased confidence present significant challenges for Ukraine in stabilizing the frontlines and maintaining territorial integrity.

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